Why the Smartest Property Investors in Australia Never Repay Their Mortgage

Yan Zhu
Co-Founder & Chief Data Officer
Let me tell you about a client who changed how I think about debt.
He's 30. Jewish background. Born in Melbourne. Owns 15 residential properties across Victoria. Total mortgage debt: just over $10 million. And he told me, without a trace of anxiety, that he plans to die still owing every cent of it.
Most Chinese-Australian investors I work with would break into a cold sweat at that statement. We — and I include myself in this, growing up in a household where debt was treated like a communicable disease — are culturally wired to pay down debt as fast as humanly possible. Extra repayments. Offset accounts maxed out. That satisfying feeling of watching the principal balance shrink.
But this bloke taught me something that the data had been screaming at me for years, and I'd been too culturally conditioned to hear: in Australian property investment, rushing to repay principal is mathematically irrational. And I don't use that word lightly. I'm a trained actuary. I've built stochastic models for insurance companies. When I say the maths doesn't support early principal repayment on investment debt, I mean it literally fails the optimisation test.
The cash flow equation most investors get backwards
Here's what most investors fixate on: the total debt number. $500K feels scary. $1M feels terrifying. $10M feels insane.
But total debt is irrelevant if your cash flow is balanced.
Let me run the numbers on a typical Melbourne southeast investment. Purchase price: $700K. Loan at 80% LVR: $560K. Interest rate: 6.49% (current IO rate). Annual interest cost: $36,344. That's $699 per week.
Now, rental income. A well-selected house on 600sqm in our core corridors — Hampton Park, Cranbourne, Narre Warren — rents at $800-$950 per week once we've done a basic cosmetic renovation. Let's use $850 as a conservative figure, which is exactly what our Hampton Park property at 15 Wren Street achieved 1.
Weekly rent: $850. Weekly interest: $699. Weekly surplus before expenses: $151.
After property management fees (7%), insurance ($30/wk), council rates ($35/wk), water ($15/wk), and maintenance allowance ($20/wk), you're roughly cash-flow neutral to slightly positive. The mortgage is servicing itself through rental income.
Now here's the part that matters: your $140K deposit (20% of $700K) is controlling a $700K asset. If that asset grows at 7% per year — which is the 25-year average for Melbourne's middle ring — it generates $49K in equity annually. That's a 35% return on your $140K cash outlay.
Why on earth would you voluntarily reduce your leverage by paying down the principal?
The leverage multiplier most people never calculate
My client put it more bluntly than I would, but his logic was bulletproof.
"Say I use $200K deposit to control a $1M house," he said. "Seven years later, it's worth $2M. My $200K generated $1M in growth. That's a 5x return. Now, if I'd been dutifully paying down principal — say I've reduced the loan from $800K to $600K — I've now got $400K of equity in the property. Same $1M growth, but my cash invested is $400K, not $200K. My return just got cut in half."
He paused. "So tell me, why would I voluntarily halve my investment return?"
I couldn't argue with the maths. Because there is no argument. Every dollar of principal repayment reduces your leverage ratio and therefore reduces your return on equity. In any other asset class, reducing leverage voluntarily while the underlying asset is appreciating would be considered irrational.
But in property — because of cultural conditioning, emotional comfort, and the soothing sound of a shrinking loan balance — millions of Australians do it every single month. They're optimising for emotional comfort at the expense of financial returns.
The numbers across our portfolio confirm this pattern. Clients on interest-only loans who hold their extracted equity for the next acquisition consistently build portfolios 2-3x faster than clients who choose principal-and-interest repayment. Same starting capital. Same market conditions. Different debt strategy. Different outcomes.
Why higher interest actually saves you money (negative gearing explained properly)
This is where it gets counterintuitive, and where my actuarial training finally overrode my cultural instincts.
Interest-only loans carry a slightly higher interest rate than principal-and-interest loans. Currently about 0.3-0.5% higher, putting IO rates at roughly 6.49-6.79% versus P&I rates around 6.09-6.39% 2. That premium costs you maybe $20-35 extra per week on a $560K loan.
But that extra interest is fully tax-deductible on an investment property.
If you're in the 37% marginal tax bracket (taxable income $120K-$180K), every additional dollar of deductible interest saves you 37 cents in tax. The $20-35 per week extra interest costs you $1,040-$1,820 per year before tax. After the deduction, the real cost is $655-$1,147.
Meanwhile, principal repayments on an investment loan are NOT tax-deductible. They reduce your loan balance (lowering your future deductible interest) while consuming cash that could be deployed as a deposit on the next property.
So you're trading a $655-$1,147 annual cost for: (a) maintaining maximum leverage on the existing property, (b) preserving cash for the next acquisition, and (c) maintaining maximum negative gearing deductions that reduce your taxable income.
My client's portfolio of 15 properties generates approximately $85,000 per year in deductible interest that he wouldn't have if he'd been repaying principal. At the 45% marginal rate (he's a high earner), that's $38,250 per year in tax savings. Over 10 years: $382,500 in tax he didn't pay.
High interest isn't a cost. It's a tax shield.
The debt transfer: your tenant is paying, not you
The fundamental insight my client shared — and this is what finally broke through my Chinese-cultural-debt-phobia — is this: the debt belongs to the asset, not to you.
You own the house. The bank owns the mortgage. The tenant pays the mortgage through rent. You keep the growth.
In accounting terms, you've transferred the liability's servicing cost to a third party (the tenant) while retaining 100% of the asset's appreciation. This is not a controversial financial structure. It's literally how every commercial property trust, REIT, and institutional fund operates. They never repay principal on performing assets. They refinance, extract equity, and acquire more.
The only reason individual investors don't do this is emotional resistance. The feeling of "owing money" overrides the logic of "the money is owed by the tenant through rent, not by me through my salary."
Our $700K Hampton Park example: the tenant pays $850/wk, which covers the $699/wk interest plus most of the holding costs. Your out-of-pocket contribution is essentially zero. But you own an asset that's growing at $49K per year.
The tenant is buying your retirement. Let them.
When interest-only doesn't work (and what to do instead)
I'm not going to pretend IO strategy is appropriate for everyone. It has clear preconditions.
First, your property must generate sufficient rent to cover or nearly cover the interest cost. This rules out most inner-city apartments (rental yields of 2.5-3.5%), off-the-plan purchases (built-in developer margin kills your yield), and properties in oversupplied markets where rents are flat or declining.
Our target yield after renovation is 5.5-6.5% gross. At these levels, IO costs are comfortably covered by rent with current rates at 6.49-6.79%. Below 5%, the gap between rent and interest starts requiring meaningful out-of-pocket top-ups, which defeats the purpose.
Second, you need a disciplined equity extraction strategy. IO only works if you're reinvesting the preserved capital — either as a deposit on the next property or into an offset account linked to your non-deductible home loan (debt recycling). If you're just spending the extra cash on lifestyle inflation, you're getting the worst of both worlds: carrying high debt without the acquisition benefit.
Third, your portfolio needs diversification. Going all-in on IO with a single property concentrates your risk. If that one property has a vacancy event or a major repair bill, you've got no buffer. With 3-5 properties on IO, a temporary setback on one is absorbed by the cash flow from the others.
For clients who don't meet these criteria — typically first-home buyers with a single owner-occupied property — I recommend P&I with an aggressive offset strategy. Pay down the non-deductible home loan as fast as possible, then when you convert to investment or buy the next property, switch to IO and recycle the debt.
The refinancing cycle: how IO strategy compounds wealth faster
Let me walk you through the refinancing mechanics that make IO strategy so powerful over time.
Year 0: You buy a $700K property with $140K deposit (20% LVR). Loan: $560K on IO at 6.49%. Annual interest: $36,344. Rent: $850/wk ($44,200/yr). Cash flow positive after interest by approximately $7,856 before other expenses.
Year 3: Property has grown at 7% compound to $857K. New 80% LVR: $686K. Existing loan: $560K (unchanged because IO). Available equity to extract: $126K.
That $126K becomes the deposit for property number two — another $630K house on 600sqm in a growth corridor. You've just doubled your land exposure without saving a single additional dollar from your salary. The first property's growth funded the second property's deposit.
Year 6: Both properties have continued growing. Property one is now worth $1,050K. Property two is worth $772K. Combined portfolio: $1,822K. Combined loans: $1,064K ($560K + $504K). Combined equity: $758K.
If you'd been on P&I from day one, your loan on property one would have reduced to maybe $480K — saving you $80K in principal. But you wouldn't have had the $126K to buy property two. So instead of two properties worth $1,822K, you'd have one property worth $1,050K and $80K less debt. Net position: $570K equity on one property versus $758K equity across two.
The IO investor is $188K ahead after six years. And the gap widens every year because compound growth applies to two assets instead of one.
This is not complicated maths. It's multiplication versus addition. IO multiplies your asset base. P&I adds to your equity on a single asset. Multiplication wins. Always.
Our team models these refinancing cycles for every client. We map out the 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year equity extraction timelines at purchase. If the property doesn't generate enough growth to fund a refinance within 3-5 years, we don't buy it. The entire acquisition strategy is built around the IO-refinance-acquire cycle. It's not an afterthought. It's the architecture.
The emotional barrier and how to get past it
I'll be honest about my own journey with this. When I first heard the IO strategy from our Jewish client, my instinctive reaction was revulsion. My parents would be horrified. My aunties would stage an intervention. The cultural programming around debt in Chinese-Australian families runs deep — deeper than any financial model can easily override.
But here's what helped me get past it: I stopped thinking about "debt" and started thinking about "capital structure."
Every corporation in the world uses debt strategically. BHP has billions in corporate bonds. Commonwealth Bank borrows from global capital markets to lend to Australian homeowners. Apple — a company sitting on $200 billion in cash — still issues debt because the tax advantages of deductible interest exceed the cost of the borrowing.
Nobody calls BHP reckless for having $20 billion in debt. Nobody calls CBA irresponsible for borrowing from bondholders. They call it capital management.
As a property investor with 3-5 properties and $2-3M in investment debt, you are a small corporation. Your properties are your operating assets. Your rental income is your revenue. Your mortgages are your corporate bonds. Your equity is your shareholders' fund. And just like every CFO on earth, your job is to optimise the capital structure for maximum return on equity — not to minimise debt for emotional comfort.
Once I reframed it as capital management instead of personal debt, the emotional barrier dissolved. I wasn't "owing money." I was managing a capital structure where deductible liabilities were offset by income-producing assets and funded by third parties (tenants).
The cultural shift takes time. But the maths doesn't wait for culture to catch up.
The 15-property playbook: how it actually works in practice
My client's portfolio didn't happen overnight. He bought his first property at 22 — a $450K house in Reservoir with a $90K deposit from savings and family contribution. He renovated it lightly (paint, carpet, landscaping — maybe $12K total), pushed the rent from $350 to $480 per week, and held it on IO.
Two years later, the property had grown to $550K. He refinanced, extracted $90K in equity (maintaining 80% LVR on the new valuation), and used it as a deposit on property number two. Same playbook: buy undervalued, light reno, rent up, IO, hold.
By 25, he had four properties. By 28, eight. By 30, fifteen.
The acceleration happens because each refinance cycle releases more equity than the last. As your portfolio value grows, the 7% annual appreciation generates larger absolute dollar amounts. Property one appreciating from $450K to $550K releases $90K. Properties one through eight appreciating by the same percentage across a $4.5M portfolio releases $315K. That's three new deposits from a single refinance cycle.
His total cash invested across the entire journey: approximately $350K (initial deposits plus renovation costs). Current portfolio value: over $12M. Current equity: approximately $5M.
The maths works. But it only works if you maintain leverage. Every dollar of principal repayment slows the cycle. Every IO period extends it.
Is it risk-free? Of course not. Interest rate spikes compress cash flow. Vacancy events require buffer capital. Market downturns reduce refinancing headroom. He manages these risks with a $200K cash reserve and landlord insurance on every property.
But the alternative — paying down principal, building equity slowly, buying one property per decade — would have produced maybe 3-4 properties by age 30 instead of 15. Same risk tolerance, same starting capital, radically different outcome.
References
- [1]PremiumRea internal transaction data, Case Study #2: Hampton Park 15 Wren St, $590K purchase, $850/wk rent, CBA desktop valuation $670K.
- [2]Reserve Bank of Australia, 'Statistical Tables — Indicator Lending Rates', March 2021. Variable IO rates 2.19-2.49% (pre-hiking cycle baseline).
- [3]Australian Taxation Office, 'Rental Properties 2020-21 — Interest Deductions'. Interest on investment loans is fully deductible against assessable income.
- [4]CoreLogic, '25-Year Growth Rates by SA3 Region — Melbourne', 2021. Middle-ring Melbourne compound annual growth: 6.8-7.4%.
- [5]Australian Prudential Regulation Authority, 'ADI Property Exposures — Quarterly Statistics', December 2020. Interest-only loan share of new lending.
- [6]Australian Bureau of Statistics, 'Survey of Income and Housing', 2019-20. Marginal tax bracket distributions for property investors.
- [7]SQM Research, 'Weekly Rents — Melbourne Southeast Suburbs', Q1 2021. Hampton Park median weekly house rent $400-$450 (pre-renovation).
- [8]Domain, 'Rental Report — March Quarter 2021'. Melbourne house rental yield 2.8%, units 4.1%. Southeast corridors outperform at 3.8-4.5%.
About the author

Yan Zhu
Co-Founder & Chief Data Officer
Former actuary turned property strategist, Yan brings rigorous data analysis and policy expertise to help investors make better decisions.